Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.1% | 12.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.0% | 28.0% | -5.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -11 (86-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Mason * | 40 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 35 | 10-19 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 32 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 29 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 29 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 26 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 4 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 22 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Bibby * | 43 | 4-13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Shareef Abdur-Rahim * | 40 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Michael Dickerson * | 38 | 6-17 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Othella Harrington * | 32 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Bryant Reeves * | 32 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 16 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Grant Long * | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Stromile Swift * | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf * | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter