Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.7% | 72.3% | +5.3 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +11 (85-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Grant * | 39 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 36 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 8-10 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Anthony Mason * | 31 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 28 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 24 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 20 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Duane Causwell * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 14 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Eddie House | 10 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bonzi Wells * | 37 | 9-13 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 23 | - |
| Damon Stoudamire * | 36 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 31 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Stacey Augmon * | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Steven Smith * | 28 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Arvydas Sabonis * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Dale Davis * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Shawn Kemp * | 18 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Greg Anthony | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter