Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.4% | 74.6% | +5.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +8 (93-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 41 | 11-30 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 1 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 41 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Joe Smith * | 33 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Dana Barros * | 28 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Mateen Cleaves * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jud Buechler * | 19 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Michael Curry * | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Mikki Moore * | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Chucky Atkins * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Billy Owens | 9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Eric Montross | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Mason * | 42 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 11-13 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 28 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 39 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 7-8 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 30 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 27 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 23 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 23 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 20 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Eddie House | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter