Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.7% | 53.3% | +0.7 | ✓ (10.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +11 (122-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Payton * | 44 | 10-20 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 23 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 40 | 8-16 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Ruben Patterson * | 33 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Emanual Davis * | 29 | 5-9 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Vin Baker * | 28 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 23 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Patrick Ewing * | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Desmond Mason * | 11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jelani McCoy * | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Shammond Williams | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Olumide Oyedeji | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ruben Wolkowyski | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Posey * | 38 | 6-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 37 | 10-19 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 20 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 34 | 9-15 | 6-9 | 6-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 19 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 33 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 29 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 9 | - |
| George McCloud * | 26 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Kevin Willis * | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Mark Strickland * | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Robert Pack * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Garth Joseph | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter