Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.6% | 91.4% | +13.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +9 (90-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ron Mercer * | 43 | 7-17 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 3 | - |
| Bryce Drew * | 41 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Elton Brand * | 40 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Fred Hoiberg * | 31 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 22 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Michael Ruffin * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 20 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Marcus Fizer * | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Khalid El-Amin * | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Mason * | 43 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 39 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 37 | 8-18 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 35 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 31 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Eddie House * | 6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Dan Majerle | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter