Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.8% | 51.2% | +0.3 | ✓ (15.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +16 (87-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Mason * | 43 | 8-19 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 41 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | -4 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 38 | 7-17 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 35 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 34 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Rose * | 43 | 10-22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 8 | - |
| Reggie Miller * | 41 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Sam Perkins * | 33 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 32 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Travis Best * | 29 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Derrick McKey * | 17 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Zan Tabak * | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Austin Croshere * | 10 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Al Harrington | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter