Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.0% | 47.0% | -0.7 | ✗ (12.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +12 (88-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Grant * | 38 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Anthony Mason * | 36 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 34 | 6-16 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 30 | 4-14 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 29 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 3-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 21 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Cedric Ceballos * | 7 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Walker * | 43 | 11-21 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 14 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 42 | 10-22 | 1-3 | 7-9 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 13 | - |
| Vitaly Potapenko * | 32 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Bryant Stith * | 32 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Randy Brown * | 30 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Eric Williams * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Kenny Anderson * | 14 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Milt Palacio * | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jerome Moiso | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter