Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.1% | 35.9% | -3.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -9 (86-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Payton * | 36 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 32 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Ruben Patterson * | 31 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Shammond Williams * | 31 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Patrick Ewing * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Vin Baker * | 20 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Jelani McCoy * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Desmond Mason * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Emanual Davis * | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 12 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorenzen Wright * | 41 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 22 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 41 | 10-24 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 10 | - |
| Roshown McLeod * | 33 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Brevin Knight * | 27 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Dikembe Mutombo * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Matt Maloney * | 25 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Alan Henderson * | 16 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Dion Glover * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Hanno Mottola * | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| DerMarr Johnson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Cal Bowdler | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter