Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.1% | 96.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.5% | 92.5% | +13.8 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +10 (88-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antawn Jamison * | 44 | 12-22 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 14 | - |
| Larry Hughes * | 40 | 3-13 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Marc Jackson * | 36 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Mookie Blaylock * | 30 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Bob Sura * | 28 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Adam Keefe * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Vonteego Cummings * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Bill Curley * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Vinny Del Negro | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Mason * | 41 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 21 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 41 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 36 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 31 | 3-12 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 24 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 22 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
* = starter