Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.4% | 85.6% | +9.8 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +8 (80-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Mason * | 46 | 5-16 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 37 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 37 | 7-20 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 37 | 8-19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 30 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Eddie House | 16 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 44 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Derek Anderson * | 43 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 42 | 8-12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Sean Elliott * | 32 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| David Robinson * | 29 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Danny Ferry * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Terry Porter * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Derrick Dial | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ira Newble | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter