Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.3% | 44.7% | -1.2 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -8 (102-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 42 | 10-20 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 40 | 7-18 | 1-8 | 4-7 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Anthony Mason * | 38 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 36 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 32 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 28 | 6-9 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Eddie House * | 16 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Todd Fuller * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 48 | 12-26 | 0-2 | 11-11 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 35 | 17 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 45 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 29 | - |
| Chucky Atkins * | 36 | 9-17 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 11 | - |
| Michael Curry * | 35 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Joe Smith * | 34 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Dana Barros * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Jerome Williams * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Mateen Cleaves * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Mikki Moore * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter