Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.5% | 86.5% | +10.2 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +7 (88-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dikembe Mutombo * | 41 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 28 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 40 | 3-13 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 40 | 11-19 | 1-2 | 8-9 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 21 | - |
| Roshown McLeod * | 32 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Matt Maloney * | 29 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Jim Jackson * | 15 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Hanno Mottola * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Larry Robinson * | 8 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Cal Bowdler | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Garnett * | 43 | 5-15 | 0-1 | 11-15 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 29 | - |
| Wally Szczerbiak * | 36 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Anthony Peeler * | 29 | 8-14 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Terrell Brandon * | 28 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Dean Garrett * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| LaPhonso Ellis * | 20 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | - |
| William Avery * | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 12 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Sam Mitchell * | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Sam Jacobson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter