Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.4% | 72.6% | +5.4 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +12 (91-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggie Miller * | 39 | 4-13 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Jalen Rose * | 38 | 5-15 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Travis Best * | 29 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Derrick McKey * | 25 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Austin Croshere * | 19 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Jonathan Bender * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Sam Perkins * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tyus Edney | 6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 42 | 8-16 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 23 | - |
| Anthony Mason * | 41 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 35 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 33 | 3-13 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 29 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 25 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 18 | 0-6 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -6 | - |
| Eddie House | 14 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
* = starter