Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.3% | 80.7% | +7.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +8 (103-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuttino Mobley * | 33 | 8-16 | 1-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 2 | - |
| Steve Francis * | 33 | 8-18 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Maurice Taylor * | 32 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Kenny Thomas * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Walt Williams * | 26 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Moochie Norris * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 21 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Hakeem Olajuwon * | 18 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Matt Bullard * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dan Langhi | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 40 | 8-18 | 0-2 | 4-8 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Derek Anderson * | 39 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 37 | 8-13 | 4-6 | 6-6 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 26 | - |
| Sean Elliott * | 28 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| David Robinson * | 28 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 19 | - |
| Terry Porter * | 13 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Danny Ferry * | 12 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Steve Kerr | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter