Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.0% | 80.0% | +7.6 | ✓ (13.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +21 (114-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Payton * | 43 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Vin Baker * | 29 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 24 | 8-10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Jelani McCoy * | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Ruben Patterson * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Desmond Mason * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Emanual Davis * | 21 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Patrick Ewing * | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 16 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Shammond Williams * | 11 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Olumide Oyedeji | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 45 | 8-18 | 1-7 | 4-8 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 44 | 16-22 | 2-2 | 4-8 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 33 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 41 | 6-11 | 4-5 | 6-6 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Howard Eisley * | 35 | 4-13 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Hubert Davis * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Christian Laettner * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Courtney Alexander * | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Gary Trent | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Donnell Harvey | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter