Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.5% | 74.5% | +5.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +9 (102-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Van Exel * | 36 | 6-18 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 32 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 12 | - |
| George McCloud * | 28 | 6-11 | 5-5 | 4-6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Keon Clark * | 27 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 26 | 2-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 26 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Robert Pack * | 21 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| James Posey * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Mark Strickland * | 10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Bowen * | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Calbert Cheaney | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Delk * | 38 | 11-18 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 11 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 34 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 21 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 33 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 25 | - |
| Rodney Rogers * | 32 | 9-16 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Corie Blount * | 22 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Clifford Robinson * | 21 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Tom Gugliotta * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Elliot Perry * | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Chris Dudley * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - |
| Paul McPherson * | 5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Daniel Santiago * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter