Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.6% | 86.4% | +10.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +8 (103-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Miller * | 38 | 11-18 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 21 | - |
| Matt Harpring * | 37 | 6-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Lamond Murray * | 31 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Clar. Weatherspoon * | 30 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Chris Gatling * | 25 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -1 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 22 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Robert Traylor * | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Cedric Henderson * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Trajan Langdon * | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Michael Hawkins | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J.R. Reid | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Mason * | 44 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 41 | 8-17 | 3-7 | 12-12 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 31 | 25 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 39 | 9-18 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 14 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 35 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 34 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Eddie House * | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Duane Causwell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter