Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.4% | 64.6% | +3.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +2 (108-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 36 | 10-23 | 3-6 | 7-9 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 16 | - |
| Joe Smith * | 34 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 19 | - |
| Michael Curry * | 27 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Chucky Atkins * | 25 | 4-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Mikki Moore * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Dana Barros * | 19 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Mateen Cleaves * | 18 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Billy Owens * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Eric Montross * | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio McDyess * | 43 | 14-25 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 17 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 37 | 8-19 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 36 | 8-10 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 26 | - |
| George McCloud * | 28 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 27 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| James Posey * | 25 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Robert Pack * | 15 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Keon Clark * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Ryan Bowen * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Calbert Cheaney | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter