Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.7% | 54.3% | +0.9 | ✗ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -2 (79-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Bryant * | 45 | 9-24 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 7 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 42 | 10-21 | 0-0 | 2-11 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Horace Grant * | 38 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Rick Fox * | 34 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Ron Harper * | 27 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 18 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Isaiah Rider * | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Mike Penberthy * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Brian Shaw * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Greg Foster | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Mason * | 44 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 42 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 35 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 35 | 7-21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 34 | 3-16 | 1-9 | 2-4 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 20 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Duane Causwell | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter