Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 94.1% | 5.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.0% | 16.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 81.6% | 18.4% | -8.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -8 (85-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Mason * | 45 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 37 | 3-14 | 2-10 | 4-4 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 37 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 29 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 33 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 29 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 28 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larry Hughes * | 44 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 44 | 6-17 | 0-4 | 6-7 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Marc Jackson * | 43 | 12-14 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 26 | - |
| Mookie Blaylock * | 35 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Vonteego Cummings * | 21 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Adam Keefe * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Chris Porter * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Vinny Del Negro * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Bill Curley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter