Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.6% | 56.4% | +1.4 | ✓ (16.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +18 (99-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Mason * | 41 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 38 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 34 | 5-16 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | -2 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 31 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 25 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 22 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Cedric Ceballos * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Eddie House | 6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Duane Causwell | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Payton * | 40 | 9-23 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 15 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 34 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Patrick Ewing * | 29 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Shammond Williams * | 28 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Jelani McCoy * | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Vin Baker * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ruben Patterson * | 19 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Desmond Mason * | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Emanual Davis * | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Brent Barry | 21 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Ruben Wolkowyski | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Pervis Ellison | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter