Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.9% | 76.1% | +6.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +4 (101-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Mason * | 38 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 3 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 38 | 8-18 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 36 | 8-19 | 5-11 | 4-6 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 34 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 29 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Cedric Ceballos * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Eddie House * | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Webber * | 39 | 9-26 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 4 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 33 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Jon Barry * | 31 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 30 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Scot Pollard * | 30 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Doug Christie * | 27 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Bobby Jackson * | 20 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Vlade Divac * | 17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Lawrence Funderburke * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter