Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.5% | 86.5% | +10.2 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +4 (80-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Terry * | 40 | 6-14 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 2 | - |
| Matt Maloney * | 39 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Alan Henderson * | 37 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Dikembe Mutombo * | 35 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 25 | - |
| DerMarr Johnson * | 22 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Hanno Mottola * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Chris Crawford * | 15 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Larry Robinson * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Anthony Johnson | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cal Bowdler | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 38 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 19 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 33 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 31 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Anthony Mason * | 31 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 30 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Duane Causwell * | 11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Cedric Ceballos | 15 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
* = starter