Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.2% | 75.8% | +6.3 | ✓ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +17 (95-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raef LaFrentz * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 28 | 4-14 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 27 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| James Posey * | 24 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Keon Clark * | 24 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Robert Pack * | 19 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Tariq Abdul-Wahad * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Mark Strickland * | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Ryan Bowen * | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| George McCloud * | 9 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Tracy Murray | 6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Bowen * | 35 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 34 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 13 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 30 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Anthony Mason * | 30 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 29 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Cedric Ceballos * | 26 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 22 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 20 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 17 | - |
| Duane Causwell | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Eddie House | 4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
* = starter