Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.7% | 30.3% | -4.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -8 (92-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Mason * | 37 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 35 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 35 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 30 | 4-13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 28 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 26 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Duane Causwell * | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Cedric Ceballos * | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Terry * | 40 | 9-19 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 17 | - |
| DerMarr Johnson * | 32 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Dikembe Mutombo * | 32 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Matt Maloney * | 31 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Alan Henderson * | 30 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Larry Robinson * | 21 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 18 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Hanno Mottola * | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Dion Glover * | 4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Chris Crawford | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter