Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 80.1% | 19.9% | -7.7 | ✗ (17.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +10 (102-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 39 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 24 | - |
| Derek Anderson * | 29 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 26 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Sean Elliott * | 25 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Danny Ferry * | 24 | 1-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | - |
| David Robinson * | 23 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Avery Johnson * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Terry Porter * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ira Newble | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Steve Kerr | 5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Van Exel * | 38 | 11-17 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 32 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 36 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 35 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Keon Clark * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| James Posey * | 26 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| George McCloud * | 22 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 16 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Terry Davis * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Tariq Abdul-Wahad * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Robert Pack * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter