Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 69.6% | 30.4% | -4.5 | ✗ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +5 (85-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Mason * | 42 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 41 | 7-19 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 40 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 36 | 6-15 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 26 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Duane Causwell * | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| A.C. Green | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Eddie House | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Miller * | 41 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Clar. Weatherspoon * | 36 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Matt Harpring * | 35 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 26 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Cedric Henderson * | 24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Lamond Murray * | 23 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Chris Gatling * | 21 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Trajan Langdon * | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Robert Traylor * | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Michael Hawkins * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter