Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 18.0% | 82.0% | +8.3 | ✗ (27.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -19 (67-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Miller * | 38 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Trajan Langdon * | 30 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Robert Traylor * | 27 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 26 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Cedric Henderson * | 23 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Clar. Weatherspoon * | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 | - |
| Matt Harpring * | 22 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Lamond Murray * | 19 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Chris Gatling * | 18 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Michael Hawkins * | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Chris Mihm | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Mason * | 40 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 36 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 32 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 32 | 3-12 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Eddie House * | 27 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 0 | - |
| Duane Causwell * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Todd Fuller * | 17 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jamal Robinson * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter