Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.0% | 85.0% | +9.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +4 (89-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ron Mercer * | 42 | 6-19 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Elton Brand * | 32 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 6-11 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Fred Hoiberg * | 26 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Dragan Tarlac * | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| A.J. Guyton * | 25 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Khalid El-Amin * | 22 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Marcus Fizer * | 19 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Michael Ruffin * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 15 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Corey Benjamin * | 12 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Van Exel * | 33 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 8-10 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Keon Clark * | 31 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 16 | - |
| George McCloud * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 26 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Tariq Abdul-Wahad * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 23 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Terry Davis * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| James Posey * | 20 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Robert Pack * | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Mark Strickland | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter