Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.4% | 68.6% | +4.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +3 (89-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Wesley * | 50 | 7-14 | 3-4 | 6-8 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 42 | 10-23 | 1-3 | 10-12 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 12 | - |
| Elden Campbell * | 42 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Baron Davis * | 40 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 37 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Derrick Coleman * | 15 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Tim James * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Hersey Hawkins * | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Eddie Robinson * | 5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Grant * | 48 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 38 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 36 | 6-15 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Duane Causwell * | 36 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Anthony Mason * | 34 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 32 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 25 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter