Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.1% | 60.9% | +2.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +2 (84-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Mason * | 44 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 41 | 3-15 | 0-4 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 35 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 35 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 27 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Duane Causwell * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Todd Fuller | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Kidd * | 40 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 4 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 39 | 8-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Clifford Robinson * | 37 | 6-20 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 3 | - |
| Tony Delk * | 32 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Rodney Rogers * | 24 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 3-6 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Daniel Santiago * | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Mario Elie * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Chris Dudley * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Jake Tsakalidis | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Ruben Garces | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Corie Blount | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter