Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.7% | 94.3% | +15.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +13 (91-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Bibby * | 37 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Michael Dickerson * | 35 | 8-19 | 2-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 3 | - |
| Shareef Abdur-Rahim * | 33 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Bryant Reeves * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Othella Harrington * | 20 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Grant Long * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 15 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 14 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Kevin Edwards * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Stromile Swift | 21 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Tony Massenburg | 3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 43 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 6-12 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 25 | - |
| David Robinson * | 31 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Sean Elliott * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 28 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Derek Anderson * | 23 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Terry Porter * | 20 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Danny Ferry * | 19 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Avery Johnson * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Steve Kerr * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Samaki Walker | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter