Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.5% | 46.5% | -0.8 | ✗ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +2 (79-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Anderson * | 41 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 38 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Sean Elliott * | 36 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| David Robinson * | 34 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Avery Johnson * | 26 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 20 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Steve Kerr * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Samaki Walker * | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Terry Porter | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finley * | 42 | 10-20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 6 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 39 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 35 | 8-20 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 33 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Howard Eisley * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Hubert Davis * | 19 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Christian Laettner * | 15 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Courtney Alexander * | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Greg Buckner | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
* = starter