Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.8% | 68.2% | +4.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +6 (87-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vin Baker * | 43 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 43 | 9-20 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 8 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 33 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Patrick Ewing * | 31 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Shammond Williams * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Emanual Davis * | 17 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Ruben Patterson * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Desmond Mason * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Jelani McCoy * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Ruben Wolkowyski * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Pervis Ellison | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Grant * | 43 | 13-21 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 33 | - |
| Anthony Mason * | 39 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 37 | 9-15 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 18 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 34 | 3-11 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 34 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 6-8 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Duane Causwell * | 17 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter