Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.8% | 35.2% | -3.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -12 (96-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finley * | 43 | 9-17 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 20 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 37 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 27 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Howard Eisley * | 24 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Courtney Alexander * | 23 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Hubert Davis * | 21 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Christian Laettner * | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Loy Vaught * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Eduardo Najera | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raef LaFrentz * | 34 | 9-14 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 30 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 30 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 11 | - |
| James Posey * | 29 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Keon Clark * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Tariq Abdul-Wahad * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Robert Pack * | 20 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 18 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| George McCloud * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Mark Strickland * | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tracy Murray | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter