Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.0% | 56.0% | +1.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets +4 (83-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Grant * | 40 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 13-15 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 37 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 38 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 33 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Mason * | 31 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 31 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 21 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Todd Fuller * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Duane Causwell * | 10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Don MacLean * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| A.C. Green | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jamal Robinson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Wesley * | 44 | 2-13 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Baron Davis * | 42 | 7-14 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 36 | 11-18 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 21 | - |
| Elden Campbell * | 35 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 21 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 27 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Eddie Robinson * | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Eldridge Recasner * | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Otis Thorpe * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter