Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.5% | 64.5% | +3.3 | ✓ (22.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +26 (105-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Outlaw * | 34 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 32 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 30 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 0 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong * | 25 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Troy Hudson * | 22 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -5 | - |
| John Amaechi * | 21 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Monty Williams * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Don Reid * | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Pat Garrity * | 17 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Andrew DeClercq | 9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Mason * | 37 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 29 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 28 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 25 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 23 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Don MacLean * | 22 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Duane Causwell * | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jamal Robinson * | 12 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Todd Fuller | 7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Eddie House | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
* = starter